What was the most important event to precede the 2008 financial crisis? Was it BNP closing its money market funds or the oil price exceeding the $100 mark? No, it was the introduction of the iPhone in 2007. And what’s the event of 2020? Surely it is Covid-19, right? No, says GaveKal’s Louis Gave, it’s the renminbi. ‘The renminbi is for the dollar what the iPhone was for Microsoft: the introduction of a parallel operating system.’
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